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Each candidate says she's ahead
BY THE NUMBERS
Polls in the 1st Congressional District race since August.
Who/When/Percentage/Wilson vs. Madrid/Undecided
Albuquerque Journal; Nov. 1-2; 45 to 49; 6
Public Opinion Strategies (R); Oct. 31-Nov. 2; 48 to 46; 5
Reuters/Zogby; Oct. 24-29; 44 to 53; 2
Albuquerque Journal; Oct. 17-19; 42 to 45; 9
Survey USA; Oct. 13-17; 45 to 53; 4
RT Strategies/CD; Oct. 8-10; 44 to 52; 4
Reuters/Zogby; Sept. 25-Oct. 2; 40 to 50; 6
Albuquerque Journal; Sept. 25-28; 44 to 44; 7
Survey USA; Sept. 18-20; 51 to 46; 3
Albuquerque Journal; Aug. 25-31; 45 to 42; 10
RT Strategies/CD; Aug. 27-29; 48 to 45; 7
Lake Research (D); Aug 21; 46 to 44; 10
Source: www.realclearpolitics.com
The (R) denotes a Republican polling firm; (D) is for Democrat firms.
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In the waning hours before Tuesday's elections, campaigns for U.S. Rep. Heather Wilson and challenger Attorney General Patricia Madrid both point to different polls putting them ahead of the other, albeit by slim margins.
An Albuquerque Journal poll conducted on Wednesday and Thursday of last week showed Madrid leading 49 to 45 percent, pollster Brian Sanderoff said Sunday. The poll had a margin of error of 4.4 percent.
Wilson's campaign released its own poll Sunday showing Wilson leading 48 to 46. That poll was done Oct. 31 through Nov. 2 by Public Opinion Strategies, a Republican firm. The margin of error was 4.62 percent.
"Sanderoff is a registered Democrat," said Enrique Carlos Knell, Wilson's campaign spokesman. "It's a biased poll with no basis in reality."
Sanderoff said his party registration has nothing to do with the poll's results. He said he's been polling for the Journal for 20 years and has correctly predicted the winner in 59 of the 61 races for which he's conducted polls.
"My objective is to be as accurate as I can," he said.
He said the difference in the national polls and the local polls could be because he selects voters who are most likely to vote.
Heather Brewer, Madrid's campaign spokeswoman, said the Journal poll is good news.
"It's great news, great energy. But it's not the final word, so we'll keep working. There's no stopping at the end of the day, and there's not a single vote in this district that the AG will take for granted."
